Wednesday, December 30, 2009
Tuesday, December 29, 2009
CRP Chairman Ron Nehring Responds to Radanovich Announcement
"Californians have been incredibly fortunate to have an outstanding representative in Congress fighting for them in Rep. George Radanovich. Throughout his 15 years in the House, George has been a thoughtful, passionate, and committed advocate on the issues facing California's Central Valley including water, agriculture, and jobs.
"All of our thoughts and prayers are with George, his wife Ethie and their son.
"While the California Republican Party must remain neutral in Republican primaries, the emergence of State Senator Jeff Denham as a candidate to succeed Congressman Radanovich is important and demonstrates Republican strength in holding this seat. I am confident we will not only send a new Republican representative to the House for the 19th district in 2010, but we will add to California's Republican delegation as well.
QUICK FACTS ON THE 19th CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
2008: McCain 52%, Obama 46%
2004: Bush 61%, Kerry 38%
2000: Bush 57%, Gore: 38%
WALL STREET JOURNAL ON THE GOP HOLDING THIS SEAT
"The eight-term lawmaker's retirement should not pose a major threat to the GOP's chances of holding on to his district-Radanovich ran unopposed in 2008 and John McCain bested Barack Obama in his Fresno-based district by six points, 52%-46%."
California Rep George Radanovich to Retire, WSJ, 12/29/09
Sunday, December 27, 2009
CONGRESSMAN DUNCAN HUNTER (R-CA) DELIVERS WEEKLY REPUBLICAN ADDRESS
WASHINGTON – Congressman Duncan Hunter (R-CA) released the following weekly Republican address. The address is available in both audio and video format and is embargoed until 6:00 p.m. ET, Thursday, December 24, 2009.
NOTE: The address is embargoed until 6:00 p.m. on Thursday, December 24, 2009.
Audio of the address is available here.
Video of the address is available here.
“I’m Congressman Duncan Hunter, and I represent the 52nd Congressional District of California, the area around San Diego.
“In this holiday season, I hope we all take time to offer thanks and prayers to the men and women of our Armed Forces. Many of these service members will spend the holidays away from home, on the frontlines in Iraq and Afghanistan, at bases and on ships around the world.
“I understand the sacrifices they are making. Shortly after the terrorist attacks of September 11th, 2001, I quit my job and joined the Marine Corps. Prior to coming to Congress, I was deployed to warzones on three separate occasions, twice in Iraq and once in Afghanistan. Just last month, actually, I had an opportunity to visit with our troops in Afghanistan.
“I hope we also take a moment this year to reflect on those suffering here at home. For too many families, this will be a difficult Christmas. One in ten Americans are unemployed. Nearly six million of our citizens have been looking for work for more than six months – the most on record.
“All year long, Republicans have offered common-sense solutions to put more money back into the pockets of hard-working families and to help small businesses create more jobs. We’ve also outlined a plan to lower health care premiums by up to 10 percent. And we have proposed an ‘all of the above’ energy strategy to create more American jobs, ease the strain on family budgets, and clean up our environment. Just as important, these solutions do not raise taxes, grow government, or add to the already skyrocketing debt burden being placed on our kids and grandkids.“After all the promises and all the spending we’ve seen out of Washington this year, out-of-work families are right to be asking, ‘Where are the jobs?’ Republicans believe our top priority when it comes to the economy should be simple: First, do no harm. So let’s resolve in the New Year to end misguided efforts to create new laws that will cost even more jobs, whether it’s the ‘cap and trade’ national energy tax, the government takeover of health care, ‘card check,’ or even more tax increases.
“Working together, we can make the next holiday season even brighter for all Americans. Thank you, happy holidays, and God Bless America.”
Friday, December 18, 2009
Impact of Presidential Approval on Mid-Term Elections
Barack Obama’s public approval rating has dropped to as low as 47% in the last week, according to Gallup. Although the President will not appear on the ballot again until 2012, how the public views his presidency will have a direct impact on each party’s performance in next year’s mid-term elections.
The party holding the White House has lost seats in 10 of the last 12 mid-terms, going back to President Kennedy’s 1962 losses. Even in that year, with a 74% approval rating following the resolution of the Cuban Missile Crisis, Kennedy’s Democrats lost seats in the House. Historically, the public uses mid-term elections to correct for the perceived excesses of the party in power, while the absence of coattail effects may result in some seats reverting back to the party with the natural advantage in the district.
IMPACT ON CONGRESSIONAL RACES. The magnitude of the net losses suffered by the President’s party in Congress has been in direct, inverse proportion to the President’s public approval rating on Election Day. The party in control of the White House suffered the most in 1966, 1974 and 1994 when the incumbent’s approval ratings were all under 50%. High approval ratings of President Clinton in 1998 (66%) and President Bush in 2002 (63%) helped the governing party gain seats in those two years — a historical aberration.
IMPACT ON STATE RACES. The spillover effect of Presidential approval directly impacts state legislative contests as well. The magnitude of losses suffered by the President’s party in legislative races has been similar to those in Congressional contests. The public has demonstrated it will hold state legislative candidates of the President’s party accountable for the President’s actions. The same three cycles when incumbent Presidents were at their lowest mid-term approvals also saw the greatest net loss of state legislative seats for the President’s party. Lyndon Johnson’s Democrats lost 762 legislative seats in 1966 when Johnson’s approval stood at 49%. Republicans lost 628 seats with Richard Nixon at 47% in 1974. While Republicans took control of Congress in 1994 due in part to Bill Clinton’s 46% approval, Democrats also lost 514 state legislative seats that year.
AVERAGE LOSSES. When the President’s approval rating has been above 60% on Election Day, the average net loss has been zero House seats and 15 state legislative seats. At between 50% and 59%, the President’s party has on average lost 12 House seats and 217 legislative seats. And an approval rating under 50% has typically resulted in a wipeout of 41 House and 477 state legislative seats lost by the President’s party. Barack Obama’s approval rating within the last week has hovered between 47% and 50% in Gallup’s surveys.
Presidential approval ratings alone are unlikely to result in any lopsided district changing parties. However, the impact in marginal districts (such as those held by Democrats but won by John McCain in 2008) can potentially be sufficient to impact the final outcome.
Link to Big Government.
Tuesday, December 8, 2009
CRP Statement Concerning Failed Recall Attempt of Republican Councilman Jerry Kern in Oceanside
"Unions attempting to abuse the recall process in a thinly veiled attempt to rig the Oceanside city council just as contract negotiations are set to begin have been defeated, and rightly so. Republican Councilman Kern is an outstanding public servant who was targeted because he was seen as a friend of taxpayers and not a pawn of local labor officials.
"Congratulations to Councilman Kern, the Republican Party of San Diego County, the San Diego Lincoln Club, and the entire team that mobilized so effectively to turn back this blatant abuse of the recall process for financial gain. Tonight's victory is not only a major win for the Republican Party, but for all taxpayers. Oceanside citizens have sent the message loud and clear that abuse of the recall process to rig contact negotiations is unacceptable.
McKeon, Cantor Introduce Resolution Allowing Congressional Medal of Honor Recipients to Fly the American Flag
WASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, Rep. Howard P. “Buck” McKeon (R-CA) and Republican Whip Eric Cantor (R-VA) introduced a resolution, H. Res. 952, allowing Congressional Medal of Honor recipients to properly display the United States flag on their property at all times.
Recent media reports, including from the Mark Levin Show, uncovered a 90 year old Medal of Honor recipient, Col. Van T. Barfoot, who was ordered by his homeowner association last week to remove a flagpole from his yard, where he raises the American flag faithfully each morning.
“I was appalled to learn that one of our decorated Congressional Medal of Honor veterans was being prevented from proudly displaying the Flag of the United States of America in an honorable way,” said Rep. McKeon. “This reminds me of that famous quote by George Washington: ‘The willingness with which our young people are likely to serve in any war, no matter how justified, shall be directly proportional as to how they perceive the Veterans of earlier wars were treated and appreciated by their country.’ Our service men and women - especially those living with honors and distinction- should be allowed to fly the flag that represents the very freedoms they fought so hard to protect.”
“It’s a sad day when a veteran of three wars is told he cannot fly the American flag on a poll outside of his home,” said Republican Whip Cantor. “Col. Barfoot made countless sacrifices, wore our country’s uniform with honor, and has earned the right to proudly display the American flag. I thank Col. Barfoot for his service and support his patriotism and efforts, as well as those here in the House, to allow him to fly his flag.”
Barfoot resides in Henrico County, Virginia.